Predictive value of glomerular filtration rate estimated by three FAS formulas for all-cause mortality in patients in coronary care unit
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摘要: 目的 比较三种FAS公式估算的肾小球滤过率(estimated glomerular filtration rate,eGFR)对冠心病监护室(Coronary Care Unit,CCU)患者全因死亡的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2014年1月1日至2015年6月1日武汉大学中南医院CCU收治的369例患者的临床资料,使用三种FAS公式分别计算eGFR(eGFRFASScr,eGFRFASCysC,eGFRFASScr-CysC),采用Cox回归分析CCU患者全因死亡的影响因素,绘制受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operating characteristic curve,ROC),评估影响因素对CCU患者全因死亡的预测价值。结果 369例CCU患者中,93例发生全因死亡事件(25.2%)。单因素COX回归分析显示,年龄、发生急性肾损伤(acute kidney injury,AKI)、手术、使用血管活性药物、使用呼吸机、血红蛋白、白蛋白、血清胱抑素C(cystatin C,CysC)、血肌酐(serum creatinine,Scr)、超敏C反应蛋白、急性生理与慢性健康状况(acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ,APACHEⅡ)评分、慢性肾脏病病史、eGFRFASScr、eGFRFASCysC、eGFRFASScr-CysC与CCU患者全因死亡相关(均P<0.05);多因素COX回归分析显示,eGFRFASCysC(HR=0.960,95%CI:0.928~0.992,P=0.016)是患者全因死亡的独立影响因素。eGFRFASCysC预测CCU患者全因死亡的ROC曲线下面积较大(AUC:0.842,P<0.001)。结论 eGFRFASCysC是CCU患者全因死亡的独立预测因子。Abstract: Objective To compare the predictive value of estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR) estimated by three FAS formulas for all-cause mortality in coronary care unit(CCU) patients.Methods From January 1,2014 to June 1,2015,a total of 369 CCU patients were recruited.The values of eGFRFASScr,eGFRFASCysC and eGFRFASScr-CysC were calculated by three FAS formulas.Cox regression analysis was utilized for examining the influencing factors of all-cause mortality and receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC) was plotted for evaluating the predictive value of the influencing factor for all-cause mortality in CCU patients.Results Among them,93(25.2%) had all-cause mortality events.Univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age,AKI,operation,use of vasoactive drugs,use of breathing machine,hemoglobin(Hb),albumin(Alb),cystatin C(CysC),serum creatinine(Scr),high sensitivity-C reactive protein(hs-CRP),acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ) score,chronic kidney disease history,eGFRFASScr,eGFRFASCysC and eGFRFASScr-CysC were associated with all-cause mortality(P<0.05).And multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that eGFRFASCysC(HR=0.960,95%CI:0.928~0.992,P=0.016) was an independent influencing factor for all-cause mortality in CCU patients.And eGFRFASCysC might predict a larger area under the ROC curve for all-cause mortality in CCU patients.Conclusion eGFRFASCysC is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in CCU patients.
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