全身炎症反应指数与血液透析患者促红细胞生成素低反应及临床预后的相关性分析

    Correlation analysis of systemic inflammatory response index with erythropoietin hyporesponsiveness and clinical prognosis in maintenance hemodialysis patients

    • 摘要: 目的 探讨全身炎症反应指数(systemic inflammatory response index,SIRI)与维持性血液透析(maintenance hemodialysis,MHD)患者促红细胞生成素(erythropoietin,EPO)低反应及临床预后的相关性。方法 收集2020年4月1日至2022年12月31日在武汉市第三医院血液透析中心行MHD患者的临床资料,随访至2024年1月31日。根据EPO抵抗指数(ESAs resistance index,ERI)的中位数将患者分为ERI较高组及ERI较低组。运用Spearman相关分析法和Logistic回归分析EPO低反应的影响因素。采用Kaplan-Meier法及Log-rank检验比较不同SIRI及ERI水平患者的生存率。运用Cox回归模型分析SIRI与患者不良临床结局的关系,并绘制受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线评估SIRI对EPO低反应及死亡的预测价值。结果 研究共纳入228例患者。ERI较高组女性比例、糖尿病比例、红细胞分布宽度、血小板、中性粒细胞、SIRI水平更高(P<0.05),而体重指数(body mass index,BMI)、白蛋白、透析前血肌酐、干体重、血清铁、转铁蛋白饱和度、血红蛋白、红细胞计数及全段甲状旁腺素水平更低(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析显示高SIRI水平(>1.56)是EPO低反应的独立风险因素(OR=2.00,95%CI:1.04~3.88,P=0.038)。Kaplan-Meier分析显示SIRI水平较高组全因死亡生存率更低(全因死亡,Log-rank检验,χ2=4.1,P=0.043;心血管死亡,Log-rank检验,χ2=3.2,P=0.075),ERI较高组心血管死亡生存率更低(全因死亡,Log-rank检验,χ2=2.9,P=0.087;心血管死亡,Log-rank检验,χ2=3.9,P=0.048)。多因素Cox回归模型分析显示SIRI与患者全因死亡风险无关(HR=1.57,95%CI:0.80~3.09,P=0.189)。纳入SIRI的logistic回归模型预测EPO低反应的曲线下面积是0.77(95%CI:0.70~0.83),灵敏度为0.754,特异度为0.702。SIRI预测全因死亡的曲线下面积是0.68(95%CI:0.59~0.78),最佳截断值为2.73,灵敏度为0.405,特异度为0.919。结论 SIRI是EPO低反应的独立风险因素,SIRI及ERI水平与血液透析患者不良临床结局有关。

       

      Abstract: Objective To investigate the correlation of systemic inflammatory response index(SIRI) with erythropoietin (EPO) hyporesponsiveness and clinical prognosis in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. Methods Clinical data of patients undergoing hemodialysis at the Hemodialysis Clinical data of patients undergoing hemodialysis at the Hemodialysis Center of Wuhan Third Hospital between April 1, 2020, and December 31, 2022, were collected and followed up until January 31, 2024. Patients were categorized into high and low ERI groups based on the median of the ESAs resistance index (ERI). Spearman correlation analysis and logistic regression were applied to analyze the factors influencing EPO hyporesponsiveness. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves and log-rank test were used to compare the survival rates of patients with different SIRI and ERI levels. The relationship between SIRI and poor clinical outcomes in dialysis patients was investigated using Cox regression modeling. The predictive value of SIRI in EPO hyporesponsiveness and death was examined using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results A total of 228 patients were included in the study. Percentage of women, percentage of diabetes mellitus, erythrocyte distribution width, platelet count, neutrophil count, and SIRI levels were significantly higher in patients in the higher ERI group (P<0.05), while the body mass index (BMI), albumin, pre-dialysis creatinine, dry weight, serum iron, transferrin saturation, hemoglobin, erythrocyte, and intact parathyroid hormone levels were significantly lower (P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a high SIRI level (>1.56) was an independent risk factor for erythropoietin hyporesponsiveness (OR=2.00, 95%CI: 1.04 to 3.88, P=0.038). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the survival rate for all-cause mortality was significantly lower in the group with higher SIRI levels(all-cause mortality, Log-rank test, χ2=4.1, P=0.043; cardiovascular mortality, Log-rank test, χ2=3.2, P=0.075). Survival to cardiovascular death was significantly lower in the higher ERI group (all-cause mortality, Log-rank test, χ2=2.9, P=0.087; cardiovascular mortality, Log-rank test, χ2=3.9, P=0.048). Multivariate Cox regression model analysis showed no significant association between SIRI and the risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1.57, 95%CI: 0.80 to 3.09, P=0.189).The area under the curve (AUC) of the logistic regression model incorporating SIRI to predict EPO hyporesponsiveness was 0.77 (95%CI: 0.70 to 0.83), with a sensitivity of 0.754 and a specificity of 0.702. The AUC of SIRI to predict all-cause mortality was 0.68 (95%CI: 0.59 to 0.78), with an optimal cutoff value of 2.73, a sensitivity of 0.405, and a specificity of 0.919. Conclusions SIRI is an independent risk factor for EPO hyporesponsiveness, and SIRI and ERI levels are associated with poor clinical outcomes in hemodialysis patients.

       

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