钙磷乘积与营养控制状况评分预测自体动静脉内瘘功能不良术后再失功的价值

    Value of calcium-phosphorus product and CONUT score in predicting postoperative re-failure of autologous arteriovenous fistula dysfunction

    • 摘要:
      目的  探讨钙磷乘积与营养控制状态(controlling nutritional status,CONUT)评分预测自体动静脉内瘘(autogenous arteriovenous fistulas,AVF)功能不良术后再失功价值。
      方法  收集2019年6月至2021年5月在武汉科技大学附属孝感医院收治的112例接受内瘘修复/重建术的AVF患者的临床资料,随访12个月,根据有无发生术后再失功分为通畅组(n=68)和再失功组(n=32),比较两组患者的临床资料、钙磷乘积及CONUT评分的差异;Logistic回归分析明确术后再失功的危险因素;以受试者工作特征曲线评估钙磷乘积及CONUT评分预测再失功的价值;以最佳阶段值为分组依据,K-M法分析不同钙磷乘积及CONUT评分分组患者术后内瘘生存情况。
      结果  再失功组患者钙磷乘积与合并糖尿病占比分别为(51.78 ± 9.88)、50.00%,高于通畅组的(43.32 ± 6.95)、25.00%(P<0.05);再失功组CONUT评分高于通畅组(P<0.05),且两组CONUT评分等级分布比较,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析结果显示,合并糖尿病、钙磷乘积、COUNT评分轻度营养不良和中、重度营养不良均是导致AVF功能不良术后再失功的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。受试者工作特征曲线分析显示,钙磷乘积和CONUT评分预测AVF功能不良术后再失功的最佳截断值分别为>4751 mg2/L2、>1分,曲线下面积和95%CI分别为0.781(0.687~0.857)、0.778(0.684~0.855),且钙磷乘积联合CONUT评分的曲线下面积和95%CI为0.824(0.735~0.893),优于二者单独预测效能(P<0.05)。以最佳截断值为分组依据,经K-M生存分析显示,高钙磷乘积组患者术后内瘘生存曲线优于低钙磷乘积组,低COUNT评分组患者术后内瘘生存曲线优于高COUNT评分组(P<0.05)。
      结论  钙磷乘积与CONUT评分是AVF功能不良术后再失功的危险因素,二者可影响术后内瘘生存时间,且可作为预测术后内瘘再失功的参考指标。

       

      Abstract:
      Objective To explore the value of calcium-phosphorus product and nutritional control status(CONUT) score in predicting postoperative re-failure of autologous arteriovenous fistula(AVF) dysfunction.
      Methods  Clinical data were reviewed for 112 AVF patients undergoing internal fistula repair/reconstruction from June 2019 to May 2021. After 12-month follow-ups, they were assigned into two groups of patency(n=68) and re-failure(n=32) according to the occurrence of postoperative re-failure. The inter-group differences were compared in clinical profiles, calcium-phosphorus product and CONUT score. Logistic regression analysis was performed for identifying the risk factors for postoperative re-failure. The value of calcium-phosphorus product and CONUT score was examined in predicting re-failure by receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve. Based upon the optimal stage as a grouping basis, Kaplan-Meier(K-M) method was employed for examining the survival of postoperative internal fistula in patient groups of different calcium and phosphorus products and CONUT scores.
      Results  The products of calcium and phosphorus and the proportions of diabetes mellitus in re-failure group were higher than those in patency group(51.78 ± 9.88) vs (43.32 ± 6.95), 50.00% vs 25.00%, P<0.05. The CONUT score was higher in re-failure group than that in patency group(P<0.05). Statistically significant inter-group difference existed in the distribution of CONUT scores(P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis revealed that diabetes mellitus, calcium-phosphorus product, mild malnutrition and moderate-to-severe malnutrition in COUNT score were independent risk factors for AVF dysfunction post-operation(P<0.05). ROC curve analysis indicated that the optimal cut-off values of calcium-phosphorus product and CONUT score for predicting re-failure after AVF dysfunction were >4751 mg2/L2 and >1 point respectively, area under the curve(AUC)(95%CI) was 0.781(0.687-0.857), 0.778(0.684-0.855) and AUC(95%CI) of calcium-phosphorus product plus CONUT score was 0.824(0.735-0.893). It was better than the predictive power of the two alone(P<0.05). Based upon the optimal cut-off value, K-M survival analysis indicated that survival curve of postoperative internal fistula was better in high calcium and phosphorus product group than that in low calcium and phosphorus product group; survival curve of postoperative internal fistula was better in low COUNT score group than that in high COUNT score group(P<0.05).
      Conclusion  Calcium-phosphorus product and CONUT score are risk factors for postoperative re-failure of AVF dysfunction. Both affect the survival time of postoperative internal fistula and may serve as reference parameters for predicting postoperative internal fistula re-failure.

       

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