巨噬细胞移动抑制因子对脓毒血症急性肾损伤和不良预后预测价值的研究

    Predictive value of macrophage migration inhibitory factor in sepsis complicated with acute renal injury andadverse prognosis

    • 摘要: 目的 分析巨噬细胞移动抑制因子(macrophage migration inhibitory factor,MIF)对脓毒血症合并急性肾损伤(acute kidney injury,AKI)发生以及不良预后的预测价值。方法 前瞻性分析2015年1月至2021年5月间皖南医学院附属弋矶山医院入住ICU的脓毒血症患者,根据入住后是否合并AKI分为AKI组和非AKI组,通过回归分析脓毒血症AKI发生的影响因素,Kaplan-Meier(K-M)生存分析和COX回归分析讨论MIF对脓毒血症AKI不良预后的影响。结果 139例患者共检出病原菌71株,革兰阴性菌、革兰阳性菌、真菌分别检出40(56.34%)、27(38.03%)、4(5.63%)株。二元Logistic回归分析显示:合并高血压、序贯器官衰竭评分、急性生理与慢性健康评分、MIF均为脓毒血症合并AKI的独立影响因素,比值比(odds ratio,OR)值分别为4.918、2.620、1.957、2.832,白蛋白(albumin,Alb)为脓毒血症合并AKI的保护因素,OR值为0.802。MIF、胱抑素C、Alb预测AKI的曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)分别为0.744、0.740、0.700。AKI 3期MIF浓度高于AKI 1期(P<0.05)。MIF对AKI不良预后预测AUC为0.704,最佳截断值为6.10 μg/L。MIF高值组(MIF≥6.10 μg/L)生存率低于MIF低值组(MIF<6.10 μg/L)。Cox生存分析显示,MIF每增加1 μg/L,死亡风险升高1.522倍。结论 血清MIF可能是预测脓毒血症AKI发生、发展和预后的潜在生物标志物。

       

      Abstract: Objective To explore the value of macrophage migration inhibitory factor(MIF) in predicting the occurrence and adverse prognosis of sepsis complicated with acute renal injury(AKI).Methods A total of 139 septic patients admitted to ICU were examined.They were divided into two groups of AKI and non-AKI according to whether or not there was a complication of AKI.The influencing factors of septic AKI were analyzed by regression and the impact of MIF on adverse prognosis of septic AKI analyzed by Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox regression.Results A total of 71 pathogenic microorganisms were identified,including 40 strains of gram-negative(G-) bacteria(56.34%),27 strains of gram-positive(G+) bacteria(38.03%) and 4 strains of fungi(5.63%).Binary Logistic regression analysis revealed that hypertension,sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA) score,acute physiology & chronic health evaluation(APACHE II) score and MIF were independent influencing factors of sepsis plus AKI.Odds ratio(OR) was 4.918,2.620,1.957 and 2.832 respectively and albumin(Alb) was a protective factor of sepsis plus AKI with an OR value of 0.802.The area under the curves(AUC) of MIF,cystatin C(Cys C) and Alb for predicting septic AKI were 0.744,0.740 and 0.700 respectively.MIF in AKI 3 was significantly higher than AKI 1(P<0.05),AUC of MIF for predicting adverse prognosis of AKI was 0.704 with an optimal cutoff value of 6.10 μg/L.Sum survival rate of high MIF group(MIF≥6.10 μg/L) was lower than that of low MIF group(MIF<6.10 μg/L).Cox survival analysis indicated that,for each 1 μg/L rise in MIF,risk of mortality spiked by 1.522 folds.Conclusion Serum MIF may be a potential biomarker of predicting the occurrence,progression and prognosis of septic AKI.

       

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