红细胞分布宽度与维持性透析患者生存率的相关性研究

    Association between red blood cell distribution width and survival rate of maintenance dialysis patients

    • 摘要: 目的 研究红细胞分布宽度(RDW)与维持性血液透析(maintenance hemodialysis,MHD)和持续不卧床腹膜透析(continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis,CAPD)患者死亡率之间的关系。方法 本研究入选2015年1月1日至2016年10月31日期间于昆明医科大学第二附属医院肾脏内科确诊为终末期肾病(ESRD)、并在本院进行首次透析治疗的331例成年患者,所有透析患者均随访至转其他医疗中心、肾移植、死亡、失访或追踪观察2年,至研究终止日期(2018年10月31日)。收集患者的临床资料,根据中位RDW值将患者分为高RDW组(RDW>14.3%)和低RDW组(RDW ≤ 14.3%)。研究所有透析患者2年存活率和全因死亡的危险因素。采用Kaplan-Meier分析比较高RDW组与低RDW组患者的生存率以及不同透析方式对患者生存预后的影响,利用COX回归模型分析患者全因死亡的独立危险因素。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析RDW对MHD和CAPD患者全因死亡的预测价值。结果 331例透析患者总中位生存时间为19个月,RDW中位值为14.3%。高RDW组(161例)与低RDW组(170例)的中位生存时间分别为19个月和24个月。两组患者在透析方式、白细胞计数、红细胞压积、C反应蛋白、总胆固醇、叶酸、合并高血压的比例之间均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线显示,低RDW组患者的生存率明显高于高RDW组(P<0.05)。高RDW组与低RDW组所有透析患者2年生存率分别为67.9%比81.1%,血液透析患者2年生存率为62.5%比67.9%;腹膜透析患者2年生存率为77.4%比91.4%,其中腹膜透析及所有透析患者组间差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。充分校正的多因素Cox回归分析显示,高RDW是所有透析患者(HR=1.311,95%CI:1.106~1.555,P=0.002)及CAPD患者全因死亡(HR=3.230,95%CI:1.598~6.527,P=0.001)的独立危险因素。RDW预测所有透析、血液透析、腹膜透析患者是否发生死亡的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为:0.606、0.560和0.726。结论 RDW与所有透析和CAPD患者的全因死亡风险相关,可作为预测所有透析患者及CAPD患者死亡风险的指标。

       

      Abstract: Objective To Study the association between red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and mortality in patients with maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) and continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD). Methods A total of 331 adult patients diagnosed with end-stage renal diseases at the Department of Nephrology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University from January 1, 2015 to October 31, 2016, and undergoing dialysis for the first time in this hospital. All of dialysis patients were followed up to reference to other medical centers, kidney transplantation, death, loss of follow-up, or follow-up observation for 2 years, until the study termination date (October 31, 2016). Clinical data of these patients were collected, and the patients were divided into high RDW (RDW>14.3%) and low RDW (RDW ≤ 14.3%) groups according to the median RDW value. Two-year survival rate and risk factors for all-cause death in all the patients were studied. Survival rates and effects of different dialysis methods on survival and prognosis of the patients were compared between the high RDW group and the low RDW group, by using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox regression model was employed to analyze independent risk factors for all-cause death of the patients. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to analyze predictive value of RDW for all-cause death of the patients with MHD and CAPD. Results The median survival time of 331 dialysis patients was 19 months, with the median RDW value of 14.3%. The median survival times for the high RDW group (161 patients) and the low RDW group (170 patients) were 19 months and 24 months, respectively. There were statistically significant differences between the two groups in white blood cell count, hematocrit, C-reactive protein, total cholesterol, folic acid, and complicated hypertension rate (all P<0.05). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the survival rate of patients with RDW ≤ 14.3% was significantly higher than that of patients with RDW>14.3% (P<0.05). The 2-year survival rates of all dialysis patients in both the high RDW group and the low RDW group were 67.9% and 81.1%, and the 2-year survival rates of hemodialysis patients in the two groups were 62.5% to 67.9%. The 2-year survival rates of peritoneal dialysis patients in the two groups were 77.4% and 91.4%. Among them, the differences of peritoneal dialysis patients and all dialysis patients between the two groups were statistically significant (P<0.05). Well-corrected multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that high RDW was an independent risk factor for all-cause death of all the dialysis patients (HR=1.311, 95% CI:1.106~1.555, P=0.002) and the CAPD patients(HR=3.230, 95% CI:1.598~6.527, P=0.001). The areas under the curve (AUC) for RDW to predict whether all the dialysis patients, hemodialysis ones and peritoneal dialysis ones died were 0.606, 0.560, and 0.726, respectively. Conclusions RDW is associated with the risk for all-cause death in all dialysis patients and CAPD patients, and It can be used as a valuable predictor of the risk for death in all dialysis patients and CAPD patients.

       

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